Fantasy Sports: Strategy versus Luck

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Doug MartinDoug Martin… (Silence and crickets.) Well that’s pretty much all I can say on this Tuesday after a monumental fantasy performance. Every daily fantasy player (and season long player) wishes they had Doug Martin on their fantasy team.  Dougy Fresh had a whopping 51 fantasy points, this rivals my Michael Vick performance of 57 a couple years back. The daily fantasy dream is to get a guy that produces numbers like Martin every week. I did have a similar performance with my pick of James Harden, during a NBA match up last week. It is like Christmas morning every time I wake up to a high scoring performance. It is great when they happen, but searching these high scorers out can be the downfall of the daily fantasy player’s bankroll.

I am a big proponent of consistency. I like to take the guys that I am sure will score every week. Sometimes this is my downfall, because I never take risk. Sometime this is my path to success because everyone else has take guys that are a “shot in the dark.” Ultimately it boils down to scoring and in all leagues you want 20+ point guys for football and 30+ point guys for basketball. If you can’t consistently score these amounts then you are destined for a losing effort.

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I had an extremely successful college football week, due to the consistency method and the fact that Tyler Bray had what seemed like a million yards passing. In the daily fantasy game it is the guys that manage their bankroll and play consistent choices that profit in the long run. Will there ever be professional daily fantasy players? Who knows, but what I do know is that the way to make money is to be consistent and apply the 30% bankroll method every night. Read more…

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