MLB Best Bets of the Day: August 21, 2012

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David PriceKansas City at Tampa Bay 7:10 PM Hochevar vs Price

If I were to do an update to my AL Cy Young Candidates piece today I’m not sure exactly who I would put number one, but I can tell you David Price would be in the top two. The Rays’ ace has been absolutely dominant this season and if he does on the road what he does at home, he would be putting up historic numbers.

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Unfortunately, the money line is at -260 today, but if you have a good bankroll that is essentially a ‘gimme pick’.

While Price has been historic at home, Luke Hochevar has been atrocious on the road. With a 5.43 ERA, .295 BAA (.340 BAA at night), and allowing 44 runs in 68.0 IP on the road, Hochevar and Royals are in trouble tonight. Top that off with the fact that the Rays are the hottest hitting team in baseball over the last week and this is just a gimme, it’s a put-all-of-your-money-on-this-game-and-nearly-double-your-bankroll pick.

Pick: Rays -1 ½ (-130)

Toronto at Detroit 7:05 PM Romero vs Scherzer

Similar to Hochevar, Ricky Romero has been pathetic this season. Oddly enough, Romero has been better on the road than at home, as far as his ERA is concerned – 5.42 to 5.65, respectively. Obviously, those numbers don’t give you much reason for caution, here.

The Tigers haven’t exactly been the hottest hitting team in baseball, but they still have some of the best sluggers in the game and they hit lefties better than half the teams in baseball. On the contrary, the Blue Jays are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball over the last seven days and while they do hit Scherzer well, their best hitter (Edwin Encarnacion) is currently in a funk. Read more…

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