NFL Week 4: The week’s 5 best bets

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Last week was one of the most strangest that I can ever recall. The disastrous calls (and non-calls) by the replacement refs hurt some teams and naturally had an impact on our picks. But what was even more telling was that seven games in week #3 were decided in the final minute of the 4th quarter or overtime!

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And so we’ll try to right the ship that finished an abysmal 1-4 last week, bringing what was a fairly decent 7-3 record to a more pedestrian 8-7. Here then are our five best bests for week #4:

*Home teams in CAPS:

49ers over the JETS- Looking to bounce back after their stunning defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings last week, the 49ers have two things in their favor. For starters they have the 7th best rushing offense in the NFL and they’re going up against a Jets defense that yielded 169 yards to the Bills’ C.J. Spiller and 185 yards to Dolphins RB Reggie Bush & co. And then there’s the ‘Revis Factor’. Joe McKnight is no Darrelle Revis and I think Alex Smith has an easy time of it through the air & with Gore on the ground.

FALCONS over Panthers- The Panthers are better than their 36-7 blowout by the Giants suggests. They dropped 35 points on the Saints in their win the week prior and held the Bucs to 16 points in their week 1 loss. Their problem has been turnovers and, besides Cam Newton, the absence of any consistent running game. The Falcons have been clicking on all cylinders, in particular QB Matt Ryan is off to an MVP-like start. They are +10 in turnovers which probably is not sustainable but their fairly easy schedule could see them run the table before thier week 7 bye.

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