MLB best bets of the day: July 30, 2012

MLB Best bets

It’s funny, I hear people say “leave the emotion out of it” all the time, and yet when I take their advice it’s always as if it comes back to haunt me. Yesterday, I kept my emotions out of it when selection the Miami Marlins to beat the Padres by 1 ½ runs. My emotions, were telling me “you must be f$%@king crazy to bet on Josh Johnson!” Well, at least a part of me was right.

Josh Johnson, who I warned could be traded, did nothing to increase his trade value on Sunday. Going 5.0 innings Johnson walked six, and while he did only give up one earned, he allowed far too many Padres to reach base. It just goes to show, always follow your instincts!

Detroit at Boston 7:10 PM Scherzer vs Buchholz

Today my instincts are telling me to take the Red Sox at home, and their .344 career team batting average (.313 without David Ortiz) when facing Max Scherzer. That said, Scherzer has been hot lately and if the kooky Red Sox manager decides to send out a lineup card without Ellsbury and Crawford, my instincts could have been misled.

As hot as Scherzer has been (four-straight wins without a loss) Clay Buchholz has been equally as hot. The Red Sox starter has put his team in a great position to win in six of his last seven outings as Boston has won six of those games and Buchholz has received four wins in that time.

Picks: Red Sox -112 and Under 9 ½ (-115)

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