MLB Best Bets of the Day: August 21, 2012

David PriceKansas City at Tampa Bay 7:10 PM Hochevar vs Price

If I were to do an update to my AL Cy Young Candidates piece today I’m not sure exactly who I would put number one, but I can tell you David Price would be in the top two. The Rays’ ace has been absolutely dominant this season and if he does on the road what he does at home, he would be putting up historic numbers.

Unfortunately, the money line is at -260 today, but if you have a good bankroll that is essentially a ‘gimme pick’.

While Price has been historic at home, Luke Hochevar has been atrocious on the road. With a 5.43 ERA, .295 BAA (.340 BAA at night), and allowing 44 runs in 68.0 IP on the road, Hochevar and Royals are in trouble tonight. Top that off with the fact that the Rays are the hottest hitting team in baseball over the last week and this is just a gimme, it’s a put-all-of-your-money-on-this-game-and-nearly-double-your-bankroll pick.

Pick: Rays -1 ½ (-130)

Toronto at Detroit 7:05 PM Romero vs Scherzer

Similar to Hochevar, Ricky Romero has been pathetic this season. Oddly enough, Romero has been better on the road than at home, as far as his ERA is concerned – 5.42 to 5.65, respectively. Obviously, those numbers don’t give you much reason for caution, here.

The Tigers haven’t exactly been the hottest hitting team in baseball, but they still have some of the best sluggers in the game and they hit lefties better than half the teams in baseball. On the contrary, the Blue Jays are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball over the last seven days and while they do hit Scherzer well, their best hitter (Edwin Encarnacion) is currently in a funk. Read more…

Daily Fantasy Baseball must starts: Tuesday August 21st

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must StartsThe Blue Jays and Tigers face off in what should be the nights most entertaining (and prosperous for fantasy owners) game.

Value plays:

Detroit Tigers – The Tigers need every win they can get as they chase a playoff spot, and the offense figures to pack quite the punch tonight against Ricky Romero and the Blue Jays. In 107 at bats, the Tigers are batting .386 with a remarkable .551 slugging percentage. Only Austin Jackson (.222 batting average) is batting below .250, and half of the healthy Tigers have taken Romero deep. A lineup with a strong average and elite power, the Tigers should produce a minimum of 3 useful fantasy baseball players.

Yunel Escobar – Looking for a middle infielder with power potential? Escobar is slugging .739 against Max Scherzer in his career to go along with a video game like .478 batting average. Scherzer has been anything but consistent this year and was shelled in his last home start (10 hits and 4 earned runs in 5 innings). Toronto may still be without Joey Bats, but this lineup (batting .344 against Scherzer) can still swing for the fences with the best of them. Roster as many players as you can for this game, with Escobar being my pick to click and provide wonderful value for his low price. Read more…