Kevin Durant and past 2nd overall picks

kevin durant 300x203 Kevin Durant and past 2nd overall picks

In sports you always learn that if you don’t finish first, you finish last. When you get drafted first overall, you get the money, but you also have the most pressure on you to succeed. If not you go down in history as a huge failure or what we call a bust. People forget about who was drafted second overall. Lets take a look back ten years and see where they are now.

2001- Tyson Chandler drafted by the Clippers but traded to Chicago. Averaging 8.5 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. He is known for his defense around the rim and most recently won a championship in Dallas. He left via free agency to the Knicks where he is currently chasing after another ring.

2002- Jay Williams drafted by Chicago stayed in the League only a year, because of a horrible motorcycle accident where he suffered serious injuries. He was never able to overcome those injuries, even though in his brief stint he showed promise.

2003- Darko Milicic drafted by Detroit currently averaging 5 points, 4 rebounds a game for Minnesota. Yes, he is still in the league and he was starting for the Wolves before a recent injury. Now he finds himself riding the pine once again and probably will not be in the league much longer. Read more here…

Have the Clippers blades gone dull, can they finish?

Blake-GriffinThe Los Angeles Clippers set the NBA world ablaze with the team acquiring  the top 5 point guard in the league, Chris Paul. The minute that the trade was announced everyone immediately put the Clippers in the playoffs. Then to my shock everyone began to write off the Lakers and say that the Clippers were the best team in town.Now that the playoffs have started I think the calls for the Clippers being the best in town has silenced but right now, its no guarantee that either will make it to the next round. The Clippers are dead locked in a battle with the Memphis Grizzlies and for the moment seemed to have the series in the bag. They leaped out to a commanding 3-1 lead in the series but 2 days ago failed to close the deal. Not only did they fail to close the series but they had some injuries to stars Blake Griffin and Chris Paul. Both players averaging over 20 ppg for the team in the playoffs. Read more here…

NBA: Looking back at the past 2nd round picks

Kevin Durant

Kevin DurantIn sports you always learn that if you don’t finish first, you finish last. When you get drafted first overall, you get the money, but you also have the most pressure on you to succeed. If not you go down in history as a huge failure or what we call a bust. People forget about who was drafted second overall. Lets take a look back ten years and see where they are now.

2001- Tyson Chandler drafted by the Clippers but traded to Chicago. Averaging 8.5 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. He is known for his defense around the rim and most recently won a championship in Dallas. He left via free agency to the Knicks where he is currently chasing after another ring.

2002- Jay Williams drafted by Chicago stayed in the League only a year, because of a horrible motorcycle accident where he suffered serious injuries. He was never able to overcome those injuries, even though in his brief stint he showed promise.

2003- Darko Milicic drafted by Detroit currently averaging 5 points, 4 rebounds a game for Minnesota. Yes, he is still in the league and he was starting for the Wolves before a recent injury. Now he finds himself riding the pine once again and probably will not be in the league much longer.

2004- Emeka Okafor drafted by Charlotte currently averaging 9 points and 8 rebounds for the Hornets. He has actually been given a change of scenery and has been doing pretty well for them. Luckily for Okafor he was able to escape that dark hole they call Bobcats but he will not be anything more than a player off the bench.

2005- Marvin Williams- drafted by the Hawks averaging 9 points and 5 rebounds for them. Williams has actually played pretty well for the Atlanta but they haven’t been able to make it to the Championship. He has been linked to trade rumors as of late, most recently to Cleveland.

2006- Lemarcus Aldridge drafted by Chicago then traded to Portland. Aldridge has been amazing for the Blazers averaging 22 points, and 8 rebounds a game. He is quietly having an amazing season and has a great career ahead barring any serious injuries.

2007- Kevin Durant drafted by Seattle(Oklahoma) averaging 27 points, 8 rebounds a game. He has breathed new life into this franchise and will be a superstar for years to come.

2008- Michael Beasley drafted by Miami averaging 12 points and 5 rebounds for Minnesota. His problem is not his talent but his off the court issues. He has a chance being on a young team to start a new path, so we will definitely keep an eye on him.

2009- Hasheem Thabeet drafted by Memphis now playing for Houston averaging 1 point and 1 rebound a game. This is actually very disappointing for a that’s 7’3″. There’s not that many 7 footers left in the league and he has the God-given tools to dominate. Unfortunately he will be nothing more than a bench warmer.

2010- Evan Turner drafted by Philadelphia averaging 8 points and 5 rebounds a game. Turner has had some up and down times in his two years. He has talent, but to be a superstar? I don’t think so.

Overall, some teams have hit gold with their drafts but most No. 2 picks have not panned out. It goes to show you that drafting is like a box of chocolates. you never know what you’re going to get

Howard for Stoudemire: Financially possible?

Dwight HowardThe Orlando Magic inquired about a potential move that would send Dwight Howard to the New York Knicks for Amare Stoudemire and Tyson Chandler, but would this deal even work out financially for both teams? The Knicks alone have $31 million wrapped up in those two players. They would have to also take back a sizable contract from Orlando.

The 2011 figures in this rumored trade look like this:

Amar’e Stoudemire $18,217,705 million

Tyson Chandler $13,107,838 million

Total: $31,325,543 million

Dwight Howard: $17,885,400

The new NBA collective bargaining agreement contains new rules pertaining to trades. Taxpaying teams can take back 125% of their outgoing salary plus $100,000. Non-taxpaying teams (based on team salary after the trade) have two options as to how much salary they can take back. Non-taxpaying teams can acquire up to the lesser of 150% plus $100,000 OR 100% plus $5 million. Teams can trade up to $3 million in a trade but the Knicks used up that $3 million in the Tyson Chandler sign and trade.

The Knicks sit at $62,487,871 in salary. The Orlando Magic currently sit at $69,066,010 million dollars in salary. This figure puts them slightly under the $70 million luxury tax threshold. Here are the 2011 salaries for their players, significant to this trade, minus Dwight Howard:

Hedo Turkoglu: $10,600,000 million

Jameer Nelson $7,305,555 million

JJ Redick $6,500,000 million

Glen Davis $6,300,000 million

Jason Richardson $5,395,000 million

Chris Duhon $3,460,000 million

Quentin Richardson $2,446,200 million

Ryan Anderson $2,244,600 million

Earl Clark $1,200,000 million

Excluded: Von Wafer, Daniel Orton, DeAndre Liggins, Justin Harper, Larry Hughes

Because of the cap standings of both teams, both teams being under the luxury tax threshold, the Knicks and Magic have more flexibility with a potential trade. However, the Knicks swapping $31.3 million in salary with Orlando and taking in Howards $17.8 million in salary is not possible. Under the new CBA trade guidelines, the Knicks would have to take back another salary because swapping STAT and Chandler for Howard would not work. Here are some trade scenarios as pertained to each CBA rule:

  1. The Knicks take back 100% of Orlando’s salaries plus 5 million. The Magic would have to give up $26,325,543 million or more in salary to make this scenario work. That means in addition to Howard’s salary, the Magic would have to shed an additional $8,440,143 million in salary. Any trade of Howard likely will include the long term contract (3 years remaining, $34.2 mil) of Hedo Turkoglu. Turkoglu makes 10.6 million this season thus bring Orlando’s salary price up to $28,485,400 mil. This trade will work under the new CBA rules. However, the Magic would be taking back an additional $2,840,143 million in salary. Under the 100% + 5 mil rule, the Magic would have to remain under the tax. Therfore they would have to give up another contract resulting in an excess of $1,906,153 million. In my opinion, ex-Knicks Chris Duhon (3 years remaining, approx $11 mil in salary) and Quentin Richardson (2 years remaining with an additional players option for 2013, approx 5 mil in salary, $7.8 mil with option) would be the most likely candidates to be included in a trade. I believe that the basic framework of a Turkoglu/Howard/additional contract for Stoudemire/Chandler trade is the most likely trade if one is to come to fruition.
  2. The Knicks take back 150% of Orlando’s salaries plus $100k. The Magic would have to give up a little bit more than $20.8 million in salary to make this trade work. Given the long term contracts the Magic have on their roster along with the minor rebuilding they will need to do losing their star player, I believe the Magic would want to give up more than $20.8 million in a trade. In order to use this 100% + 100k clause, the Magic would have to give up between $20.8 million and $26.325 million (from the scenario above). However, if they were to give up Turkoglu, which they should and which they want to, they would eliminate this clause from being used in the CBA. This scenario would be plausible if the Knicks were going to take back any other Orlando player not named Hedo Turkoglu in a trade. This scenario is unlikely because I truly believe the Magic are going to part ways with Turkoglu as well as Howard in any trade they make.
  3. The Knicks and Magic never have serious discussions. Per the new CBA, Tyson Chandler, a newly acquired free agent, cannot be dealt until March 1st. If Orlando is swept off its feet by the Lakers, Clippers, Mavs, Nets or a mystery team, which I do not believe it will be, then they could move Howard before the Knicks can even discuss this trade seriously.
  4. The Knicks and Magic find a 3rd team. Conceivably, just like the trades that brought Carmelo Anthony and Tyson Chandler to New York, the Knicks could find a 3rd team to deal with. Any trade scenario involving 3 teams would have to include more parts than just Turkoglu/Howard and Stoudemire/Chandler. At this point it is impossible to predict what 3rd team could be involved because no serious talks have gone on between Orlando and New York.

In conclusion, the main idea of this long and potentially head-ache enabling blog post is that financially the Knicks could pull off a trade for Dwight Howard. The new CBA allows it and both teams have contracts to make it work. The factors that would hold up a trade go beyond the financials. Whether the Magic are fully committed to trading Howard is up in the air. It is unknown whether the Knicks would part ways with newly acquired Chandler. As well as whether to give up Chandler, there have been no indications from the organization that Dolan is ready to break his loyalty with Stoudemire. It also remains unknown as to whether Orlando would even take this kind of deal. They would be locked into two long term big contracts and two decaying Amar’e Stoudemire knees. In my opinion, I do not believe this is a trade that will ever come to fruition. I think it makes obvious sense for the Knicks but I think the financials of the situation would far outweigh the on-court benefits for the Magic. I believe Amar’e and Tyson Chandler could fit nicely with that already strong Orlando team but I do not think the two players would launch the Magic into championship contention. Either way, Chandler cannot be dealt until March 1st so the Knicks will have their current center for at least 6 more weeks before they go chasing after another team’s star center. A lot can change in six weeks but if I had to bet a hypothetical house (seeming that I don’t own a house) on whether this trade would happen, I would bet against it.

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